Hajduk Split 1-0 NK Varazdin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.4
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
4.41
6+ Goals
8%
23.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.7pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.2pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.7pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY NK Varazdin EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +16%
1.43/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.15
+0% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +24%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 75%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
18.7 Crosses 12.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hajduk Split
3W-1D-2L
AWAY NK Varazdin
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.19 xG 0.96
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
372 Passes 274
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 1-0 HT 1-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
18.08.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 2-1 HT 0-1 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
05.05.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 0-1 HT 0-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
27.02.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 5-0 HT 2-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIRK
24.02.2024 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 1-1 HT 1-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
12.11.2023 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 3-1 HT 2-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hajduk Split
1-0
AWAY NK Varazdin
0.99 xG 0.69
39% Ball Possession 61%
4 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
265 Passes 440
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
11 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hajduk Split edged past NK Varazdin 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hajduk Split as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Hajduk Split had 39% of the ball to NK Varazdin's 61%, shots finished 4-8, expected goals 0.99 to 0.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hajduk Split had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Hajduk Split and 0.83 for NK Varazdin.

What was the final score of Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin?

Hajduk Split 1-0 NK Varazdin in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hajduk Split win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hajduk Split 48%, draw 31%, NK Varazdin 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hajduk Split), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hajduk Split) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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