Deportes Tolima 0-1 Llaneros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 8 Feb 2026

📅08/02/2026 · 🕒00:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.76
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
19%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.29
No
49%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.1pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.6pp
20%
Away Win
20%
-0.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
40%
+11.8pp
49%
BTTS No
60%
-11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportes Tolima EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Llaneros EU Bookmakers 23%
+2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.20/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.37
+2% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
346 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 76%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.8
16.6 Crosses 13.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportes Tolima
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Llaneros
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.08 xG 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
362 Passes 300
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.11.2025 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 3-1 HT 2-0 Llaneros Llaneros KOL
07.09.2025 Llaneros Llaneros 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
20.05.2025 Llaneros Llaneros 1-3 HT 0-3 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
25.03.2025 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-0 HT 1-0 Llaneros Llaneros KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportes Tolima
0-1
AWAY Llaneros
0.84 xG 0.45
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
428 Passes 206
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportes Tolima vs Llaneros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llaneros edged past Deportes Tolima 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Deportes Tolima at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Deportes Tolima had 64% of the ball to Llaneros's 36%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 0.84 to 0.45.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Deportes Tolima and 0.75 for Llaneros.

What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Llaneros?

Deportes Tolima 0-1 Llaneros in the Colombia - Primera on 08/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportes Tolima vs Llaneros?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 50%, draw 31%, Llaneros 20%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportes Tolima), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportes Tolima) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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