Fortaleza CEIF 1-1 Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 8 Feb 2026

📅08/02/2026 · 🕒02:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-2.1pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.0pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+4.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.1pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 38%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +26%
0.88/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/0.98
-14% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
285 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
13.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
14.3 Crosses 16.1
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Santa Fe
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.87 xG 1.13
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
303 Passes 224
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.12.2025 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 1-2 HT 1-2 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
23.11.2025 Santa Fe Santa Fe 3-0 HT 0-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
24.08.2025 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 2-0 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
09.03.2025 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-0 HT 1-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
22.09.2024 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 1-3 HT 0-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
10.03.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-0 HT 1-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
1-1
AWAY Santa Fe
0.59 xG 0.88
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 1
339 Passes 239
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 6
14 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fortaleza CEIF vs Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortaleza CEIF and Santa Fe shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Fortaleza CEIF had 56% of the ball to Santa Fe's 44%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 0.59 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Fe led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Fortaleza CEIF and 2.00 for Santa Fe.

What was the final score of Fortaleza CEIF vs Santa Fe?

Fortaleza CEIF 1-1 Santa Fe in the Colombia - Primera on 08/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortaleza CEIF vs Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza CEIF 33%, draw 28%, Santa Fe 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Santa Fe), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santa Fe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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