Mura 0-3 Aluminij — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 8 Feb 2026

📅08/02/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.2pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mura EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminij EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -7%
1.40/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.62
-2% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mura
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Aluminij
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.10.2025 Aluminij Aluminij 2-2 HT 0-1 Mura Mura SLVN
02.08.2025 Mura Mura 1-1 HT 1-1 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
29.04.2024 Mura Mura 3-1 HT 1-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
01.03.2024 Aluminij Aluminij 2-0 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN
04.11.2023 Mura Mura 1-0 HT 0-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
25.08.2023 Aluminij Aluminij 0-1 HT 0-1 Mura Mura SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mura
0-3
AWAY Aluminij
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mura vs Aluminij
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aluminij ran out comfortable winners over Mura 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Mura at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mura had 50% of the ball to Aluminij's 50%, shots finished 14-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mura had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Mura and 1.00 for Aluminij.

What was the final score of Mura vs Aluminij?

Mura 0-3 Aluminij in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 08/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mura vs Aluminij?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mura win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mura 42%, draw 29%, Aluminij 29%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mura) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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8 Feb 2026
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