Olimpija Ljubljana 3-1 Celje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 8 Feb 2026

📅08/02/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.83
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.01
6+ Goals
13%
9.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+5.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.2pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Celje EU Bookmakers 49%
+28% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.20/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/0.96
-2% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
306 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 448 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Celje
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
04.12.2025 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 1-0 HT 0-0 Celje Celje SLVNK
18.10.2025 Celje Celje 0-0 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
03.08.2025 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 0-5 HT 0-2 Celje Celje SLVN
27.04.2025 Celje Celje 3-3 HT 1-1 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
24.04.2025 Celje Celje 2-1 HT 1-1 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVNK
02.03.2025 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 2-0 HT 1-0 Celje Celje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
3-1
AWAY Celje
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Olimpija Ljubljana vs Celje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpija Ljubljana got the better of Celje 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Celje at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Olimpija Ljubljana had 38% of the ball to Celje's 62%, shots finished 13-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Olimpija Ljubljana and 1.67 for Celje.

What was the final score of Olimpija Ljubljana vs Celje?

Olimpija Ljubljana 3-1 Celje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 08/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpija Ljubljana vs Celje?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Olimpija Ljubljana 34%, draw 24%, Celje 42%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Celje) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celje) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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