Olimpija Ljubljana 1-0 Celje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - Cup, 4 Dec 2025

📅04/12/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.99
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
53%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.91
Over 2.5
57%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.68
No
41%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
30%
-5.2pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.8pp
54%
Away Win
44%
+9.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.2pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Celje EU Bookmakers 48%
+46% / +46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.10/0.00
+24% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
326 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Celje
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
18.10.2025 Celje Celje 0-0 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
03.08.2025 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 0-5 HT 0-2 Celje Celje SLVN
27.04.2025 Celje Celje 3-3 HT 1-1 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
24.04.2025 Celje Celje 2-1 HT 1-1 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVNK
02.03.2025 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 2-0 HT 1-0 Celje Celje SLVN
03.11.2024 Celje Celje 0-1 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
1-0
AWAY Celje
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Olimpija Ljubljana vs Celje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpija Ljubljana nicked a narrow win over Celje 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Celje at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Olimpija Ljubljana had 42% of the ball to Celje's 58%, shots finished 15-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Olimpija Ljubljana and 1.67 for Celje.

What was the final score of Olimpija Ljubljana vs Celje?

Olimpija Ljubljana 1-0 Celje in the Slovenia - Cup on 04/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpija Ljubljana vs Celje?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Olimpija Ljubljana 25%, draw 22%, Celje 54%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Celje) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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