Olimpija Ljubljana 0-5 Celje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.5
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.12
6+ Goals
13%
10.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.4pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Celje EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +11%
1.32/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.12
+0% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Celje
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.04.2025 Celje Celje 3-3 HT 1-1 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
24.04.2025 Celje Celje 2-1 HT 1-1 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVNK
02.03.2025 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 2-0 HT 1-0 Celje Celje SLVN
03.11.2024 Celje Celje 0-1 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
18.08.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 2-2 HT 1-1 Celje Celje SLVN
28.04.2024 Celje Celje 1-0 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
0-5
AWAY Celje
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Olimpija Ljubljana vs Celje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celje swept aside Olimpija Ljubljana 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Olimpija Ljubljana at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Olimpija Ljubljana had 38% of the ball to Celje's 62%, shots finished 11-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Olimpija Ljubljana and 1.33 for Celje.

What was the final score of Olimpija Ljubljana vs Celje?

Olimpija Ljubljana 0-5 Celje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpija Ljubljana vs Celje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpija Ljubljana win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Olimpija Ljubljana 41%, draw 26%, Celje 33%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SLVN More Slovenia - 1st Division
3 Aug 2025
18:30 Maribor vs Koper Analysis →