Celje 2-1 Olimpija Ljubljana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - Cup, 24 Apr 2025

📅24/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.56
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.15
6+ Goals
11%
10.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.1pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celje EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 36%
+39% / +39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+1% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celje
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2025 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 2-0 HT 1-0 Celje Celje SLVN
03.11.2024 Celje Celje 0-1 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
18.08.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 2-2 HT 1-1 Celje Celje SLVN
28.04.2024 Celje Celje 1-0 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
02.03.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 1-1 HT 0-1 Celje Celje SLVN
05.11.2023 Celje Celje 0-1 HT 0-1 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celje
2-1
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Celje vs Olimpija Ljubljana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celje squeezed past Olimpija Ljubljana 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Celje as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Celje had 61% of the ball to Olimpija Ljubljana's 39%, shots finished 14-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olimpija Ljubljana led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Celje and 1.17 for Olimpija Ljubljana.

What was the final score of Celje vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

Celje 2-1 Olimpija Ljubljana in the Slovenia - Cup on 24/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celje vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Celje 43%, draw 24%, Olimpija Ljubljana 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celje), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Celje) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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