Celje 3-3 Olimpija Ljubljana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
35%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.92
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.69
6+ Goals
11%
15.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 29% vs market 27.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-8.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
35%
Away Win
25%
+10.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celje EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -12%
1.59/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.27
+9% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
305 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celje
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
24.04.2025 Celje Celje 2-1 HT 1-1 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVNK
02.03.2025 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 2-0 HT 1-0 Celje Celje SLVN
03.11.2024 Celje Celje 0-1 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
18.08.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 2-2 HT 1-1 Celje Celje SLVN
28.04.2024 Celje Celje 1-0 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
02.03.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 1-1 HT 0-1 Celje Celje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celje
3-3
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Celje vs Olimpija Ljubljana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celje and Olimpija Ljubljana shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Celje had 59% of the ball to Olimpija Ljubljana's 41%, shots finished 15-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Celje and 1.17 for Olimpija Ljubljana.

What was the final score of Celje vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

Celje 3-3 Olimpija Ljubljana in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celje vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Celje 39%, draw 25%, Olimpija Ljubljana 35%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Celje) ✗ BTTS No
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