Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-0 Osijek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
36%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.01
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
3.49
6+ Goals
9%
14.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 31% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
12%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-6.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+7.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.8pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Osijek EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
1.41/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.97
+23% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
303 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
21.3 Crosses 18.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Osijek
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.83 xG 1.66
44% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
230 Passes 310
68% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2024 Osijek Osijek 3-0 HT 2-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
22.09.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-1 HT 0-1 Osijek Osijek HIR
04.05.2024 Osijek Osijek 3-1 HT 0-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
27.02.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-0 HT 0-0 Osijek Osijek HIRK
23.02.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 HT 1-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
11.11.2023 Osijek Osijek 1-1 HT 0-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
3-0
AWAY Osijek
1.51 xG 0.27
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
316 Passes 262
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
30 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Osijek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiva Zagreb swept aside Osijek 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Lokomotiva Zagreb found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lokomotiva Zagreb had 54% of the ball to Osijek's 46%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 1.51 to 0.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osijek led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Lokomotiva Zagreb and 1.50 for Osijek.

What was the final score of Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Osijek?

Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-0 Osijek in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Osijek?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiva Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiva Zagreb 37%, draw 27%, Osijek 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HIR More Croatia - 1. HNL
8 Mar 2025
17:00 NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961 Analysis →