Estoril vs Farense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Estoril v Farense — Team-Based Signals
Estoril vs Farense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 2-0
Farense
POR
0-2
HT 0-1
Estoril
POR2
1-2
HT 1-1
Farense
POR2
0-2
HT 0-1
Estoril
PORLC
Estoril 2-2 Farense — Actual Match Statistics
Estoril and Farense shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Estoril at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Estoril had 59% of the ball to Farense's 41%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 2.43 to 1.19.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Estoril and 1.00 for Farense.
What was the final score of Estoril vs Farense?
Estoril 2-2 Farense in the Portugal - Premier League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Estoril vs Farense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Estoril win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Estoril 45%, draw 26%, Farense 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.