Fakel 0-2 Zenit St. Petersburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.91
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
45%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.33
No
62%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
4.35
6+ Goals
8%
21.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 35% vs market 30.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
12.95
1/2
5%
28.0
1/X
7%
22.1
X/1
11%
13.5
X/2
11%
3.59
X/X
13%
5.01
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
29%
1.81
2/X
9%
19.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
14%
+12.9pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.8pp
45%
Away Win
64%
-18.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
39%
-0.3pp
62%
BTTS No
61%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fakel EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 69%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.12/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/0.74
-27% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +8%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
251 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 78%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.9
22.8 Crosses 20.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fakel
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.67 xG 1.27
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
162 Passes 529
64% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2024 Fakel Fakel 0-1 HT 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK
21.09.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 3-1 HT 0-1 Fakel Fakel RUS
30.07.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 3-0 HT 1-0 Fakel Fakel RUK
06.05.2024 Fakel Fakel 1-1 HT 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
13.08.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-0 HT 1-0 Fakel Fakel RUS
03.06.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Fakel Fakel RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fakel
0-2
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
0.07 xG 2.34
26% Ball Possession 74%
4 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
158 Passes 597
75% Pass Accuracy 92%
7 Box Touches 43
21 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fakel vs Zenit St. Petersburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg got the better of Fakel 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Fakel had 26% of the ball to Zenit St. Petersburg's 74%, shots finished 4-20, expected goals 0.07 to 2.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Fakel and 1.83 for Zenit St. Petersburg.

What was the final score of Fakel vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Fakel 0-2 Zenit St. Petersburg in the Russia - Premier League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fakel vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Fakel 27%, draw 28%, Zenit St. Petersburg 45%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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