Hartberg 1-1 Blau-Weiss Linz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 8 Mar 2026

📅08/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
35%
3.11
Away
24%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.67
Over 2.5
36%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.62
2-3 Goals
47%
1.73
4-5 Goals
15%
4.14
6+ Goals
7%
20.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.55
1/2
5%
33.5
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
17%
5.16
X/2
10%
5.87
X/X
18%
4.1
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
9%
4.33
2/X
10%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+2.1pp
35%
Draw
29%
+6.0pp
24%
Away Win
32%
-8.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
56%
+7.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
44%
-7.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.3pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartberg EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Blau-Weiss Linz EU Bookmakers 36%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -17%
1.38/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.41
-15% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
18.9 Crosses 16.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartberg
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Blau-Weiss Linz
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.57 xG 1.42
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
346 Passes 306
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2025 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 2-2 HT 1-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVK
09.08.2025 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 0-1 HT 0-1 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
16.03.2025 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 4-1 HT 1-1 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
26.10.2024 Hartberg Hartberg 2-1 HT 1-0 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AVU
05.11.2023 Hartberg Hartberg 3-2 HT 1-2 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AVU
06.08.2023 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 3-3 HT 1-2 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartberg
1-1
AWAY Blau-Weiss Linz
1.70 xG 0.77
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
388 Passes 347
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 20
9 Crosses 23
POST-MATCH Hartberg vs Blau-Weiss Linz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartberg and Blau-Weiss Linz shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Hartberg at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hartberg had 51% of the ball to Blau-Weiss Linz's 49%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.70 to 0.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hartberg had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hartberg and 2.00 for Blau-Weiss Linz.

What was the final score of Hartberg vs Blau-Weiss Linz?

Hartberg 1-1 Blau-Weiss Linz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartberg vs Blau-Weiss Linz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hartberg win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hartberg 41%, draw 35%, Blau-Weiss Linz 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hartberg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hartberg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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