Swarovski Tirol 2-0 Grazer AK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 8 Mar 2026

📅08/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.74
2-3 Goals
45%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
3.96
6+ Goals
9%
18.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.42
1/2
8%
33.5
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1
10%
5.14
X/2
14%
6.06
X/X
11%
4.17
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
29.0
2/2
12%
4.42
2/X
10%
13.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.0 — our 10% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.9pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swarovski Tirol EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Grazer AK EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -16%
1.63/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.42
+30% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
16.7 Crosses 16.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swarovski Tirol
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Grazer AK
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.80 xG 0.86
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
392 Passes 275
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.08.2025 Grazer AK Grazer AK 1-1 HT 0-1 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
29.03.2025 Grazer AK Grazer AK 0-0 HT 0-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
09.11.2024 Grazer AK Grazer AK 2-1 HT 1-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
10.08.2024 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 0-0 HT 0-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AVU
22.09.2021 Grazer AK Grazer AK 2-4 HT 2-2 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swarovski Tirol
2-0
AWAY Grazer AK
1.11 xG 0.60
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
282 Passes 302
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Swarovski Tirol vs Grazer AK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swarovski Tirol got the better of Grazer AK 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Swarovski Tirol made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Swarovski Tirol had 50% of the ball to Grazer AK's 50%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.11 to 0.60.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Swarovski Tirol and 1.00 for Grazer AK.

What was the final score of Swarovski Tirol vs Grazer AK?

Swarovski Tirol 2-0 Grazer AK in the Austria - Bundesliga on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swarovski Tirol vs Grazer AK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swarovski Tirol win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Swarovski Tirol 40%, draw 27%, Grazer AK 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Swarovski Tirol), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Swarovski Tirol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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