Rapid Wien 1-0 Salzburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 8 Mar 2026

📅08/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
50%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.79
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.03
6+ Goals
10%
9.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
5.25
1/2
7%
22.65
1/X
6%
13.35
X/1
10%
7.51
X/2
21%
4.83
X/X
10%
5.1
2/1
8%
33.0
2/2
21%
2.65
2/X
10%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
27%
-2.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
49%
Away Win
47%
+2.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.0pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Salzburg EU Bookmakers 51%
+12% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -29%
1.84/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.47
+60% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
286 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 74%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
18.5 Crosses 15.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rapid Wien
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Salzburg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.19 xG 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
310 Passes 375
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2025 Salzburg Salzburg 2-1 HT 1-1 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
24.05.2025 Salzburg Salzburg 4-2 HT 3-1 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
30.03.2025 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 0-2 HT 0-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
07.12.2024 Salzburg Salzburg 2-2 HT 1-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
01.09.2024 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 3-2 HT 2-2 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
05.05.2024 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 2-0 HT 0-0 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rapid Wien
1-0
AWAY Salzburg
0.48 xG 2.14
32% Ball Possession 68%
3 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 5
179 Passes 474
67% Pass Accuracy 83%
8 Box Touches 38
7 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rapid Wien vs Salzburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rapid Wien squeezed past Salzburg 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Salzburg at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rapid Wien had 32% of the ball to Salzburg's 68%, shots finished 3-15, expected goals 0.48 to 2.14 — the balance of chances actually favoured Salzburg.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salzburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Rapid Wien and 2.00 for Salzburg.

What was the final score of Rapid Wien vs Salzburg?

Rapid Wien 1-0 Salzburg in the Austria - Bundesliga on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rapid Wien vs Salzburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Rapid Wien 24%, draw 26%, Salzburg 49%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Salzburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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