Sturm Graz 2-0 Rheindorf Altach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 8 Mar 2026

📅08/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.47
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.43
6+ Goals
6%
23.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.32
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.45
X/1
8%
4.89
X/2
12%
6.25
X/X
10%
3.92
2/1
11%
30.5
2/2
12%
4.84
2/X
6%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.7pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.1pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.1pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sturm Graz EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Rheindorf Altach EU Bookmakers 33%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.44/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.14
-18% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
299 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
21.5 Crosses 15.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sturm Graz
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Rheindorf Altach
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.84 xG 0.97
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
301 Passes 198
74% Pass Accuracy 66%
31 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.02.2026 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach 3-1 HT 0-0 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVK
05.10.2025 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach 0-2 HT 0-0 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
30.11.2024 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach 1-1 HT 0-1 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
24.08.2024 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 2-1 HT 0-0 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach AVU
10.12.2023 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1-0 HT 1-0 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach AVU
02.09.2023 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach 1-2 HT 0-0 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sturm Graz
2-0
AWAY Rheindorf Altach
1.20 xG 0.88
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
205 Passes 218
67% Pass Accuracy 65%
26 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sturm Graz vs Rheindorf Altach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sturm Graz saw off Rheindorf Altach 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sturm Graz as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sturm Graz had 48% of the ball to Rheindorf Altach's 52%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.20 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sturm Graz and 1.00 for Rheindorf Altach.

What was the final score of Sturm Graz vs Rheindorf Altach?

Sturm Graz 2-0 Rheindorf Altach in the Austria - Bundesliga on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sturm Graz vs Rheindorf Altach?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sturm Graz win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz 44%, draw 24%, Rheindorf Altach 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sturm Graz), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sturm Graz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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