Libertad 1-0 Sportivo Luqueno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 8 Mar 2026

📅08/03/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.95
No
46%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.1pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.2pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.9pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Libertad EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno EU Bookmakers 28%
-9% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
1.17/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.56
-21% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
274 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Libertad
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2025 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 1-4 HT 1-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
06.07.2025 Libertad Libertad 0-1 HT 0-1 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
12.05.2025 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 1-0 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
01.03.2025 Libertad Libertad 3-0 HT 1-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
14.11.2024 Libertad Libertad 2-0 HT 1-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PARK
10.11.2024 Libertad Libertad 0-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Libertad
1-0
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Libertad vs Sportivo Luqueno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Libertad edged past Sportivo Luqueno 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Libertad as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Libertad had 51% of the ball to Sportivo Luqueno's 49%, shots finished 17-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Libertad and 0.50 for Sportivo Luqueno.

What was the final score of Libertad vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Libertad 1-0 Sportivo Luqueno in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Libertad vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Libertad 46%, draw 31%, Sportivo Luqueno 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Libertad), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Libertad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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