Radnik Surdulica 2-2 Radnicki Nis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 8 Mar 2026

📅08/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.52
Over
46%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.09
No
49%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
38%
4-5
21%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-4.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.8pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnik Surdulica EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnicki Nis EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -19%
1.29/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.32
-14% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 74%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
17.6 Crosses 18.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnik Surdulica
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Radnicki Nis
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.95 xG 1.26
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
220 Passes 314
67% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.10.2025 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 4-2 HT 3-1 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
21.04.2024 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 1-0 HT 0-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
03.03.2024 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 0-3 HT 0-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
22.09.2023 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 0-0 HT 0-0 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
27.04.2023 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 1-0 HT 0-0 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
18.02.2023 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 0-0 HT 0-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnik Surdulica
2-2
AWAY Radnicki Nis
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Radnik Surdulica vs Radnicki Nis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnik Surdulica and Radnicki Nis couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Radnik Surdulica at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Radnik Surdulica had 56% of the ball to Radnicki Nis's 44%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Radnik Surdulica and 0.83 for Radnicki Nis.

What was the final score of Radnik Surdulica vs Radnicki Nis?

Radnik Surdulica 2-2 Radnicki Nis in the Serbia - Super League on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnik Surdulica vs Radnicki Nis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radnik Surdulica win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Radnik Surdulica 41%, draw 28%, Radnicki Nis 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Radnik Surdulica), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Radnik Surdulica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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