Spartak Subotica vs IMT Novi Beograd Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Spartak Subotica v IMT Novi Beograd — Team-Based Signals
Spartak Subotica vs IMT Novi Beograd Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Spartak Subotica
SIRP
Spartak Subotica 0-1 IMT Novi Beograd — Actual Match Statistics
IMT Novi Beograd edged past Spartak Subotica 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 34% — and on the day IMT Novi Beograd made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
On the day, Spartak Subotica had 35% of the ball to IMT Novi Beograd's 65%, shots finished 1-19, expected goals 0.10 to 1.88 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold IMT Novi Beograd's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Subotica had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Spartak Subotica and 0.83 for IMT Novi Beograd.
What was the final score of Spartak Subotica vs IMT Novi Beograd?
Spartak Subotica 0-1 IMT Novi Beograd in the Serbia - Super League on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spartak Subotica vs IMT Novi Beograd?
Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Subotica win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Spartak Subotica 38%, draw 27%, IMT Novi Beograd 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Spartak Subotica), BTTS Yes went the other way.