Kızılyıldız vs Napredak Krusevac Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kızılyıldız v Napredak Krusevac — Team-Based Signals
Kızılyıldız vs Napredak Krusevac Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Kızılyıldız
SIRP
Kızılyıldız 4-0 Napredak Krusevac — Actual Match Statistics
Kızılyıldız cruised past Napredak Krusevac 4-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Kızılyıldız as the likeliest winner at 82%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (75%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.
On the day, Kızılyıldız had 78% of the ball to Napredak Krusevac's 22%, shots finished 22-7, expected goals 2.15 to 0.40.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kızılyıldız had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Kızılyıldız and 0.33 for Napredak Krusevac.
What was the final score of Kızılyıldız vs Napredak Krusevac?
Kızılyıldız 4-0 Napredak Krusevac in the Serbia - Super League on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kızılyıldız vs Napredak Krusevac?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 82%, with the full match-result split Kızılyıldız 82%, draw 10%, Napredak Krusevac 9%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.