CA Penarol vs Danubio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CA Penarol v Danubio — Team-Based Signals
CA Penarol vs Danubio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
CA Penarol
URU
1-0
HT 0-0
CA Penarol
URU
CA Penarol 1-1 Danubio — Actual Match Statistics
CA Penarol and Danubio shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
This one beat our numbers. CA Penarol carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, CA Penarol had 57% of the ball to Danubio's 43%, shots finished 15-2.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for CA Penarol and 0.50 for Danubio.
What was the final score of CA Penarol vs Danubio?
CA Penarol 1-1 Danubio in the Uruguay - Premier League on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CA Penarol vs Danubio?
Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 62%, draw 22%, Danubio 16%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CA Penarol) went the other way.