Racing Club Montevideo vs Cerro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Racing Club Montevideo v Cerro — Team-Based Signals
Racing Club Montevideo vs Cerro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Cerro
URU
1-2
HT 0-1
Racing Club Montevideo
URU
Racing Club Montevideo 1-0 Cerro — Actual Match Statistics
Racing Club Montevideo nicked a narrow win over Cerro 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Racing Club Montevideo as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Racing Club Montevideo had 51% of the ball to Cerro's 49%, shots finished 14-8.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Racing Club Montevideo and 1.00 for Cerro.
What was the final score of Racing Club Montevideo vs Cerro?
Racing Club Montevideo 1-0 Cerro in the Uruguay - Premier League on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Racing Club Montevideo vs Cerro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Club Montevideo win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Racing Club Montevideo 54%, draw 23%, Cerro 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.