Juventud vs Nacional de Football Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Juventud v Nacional de Football — Team-Based Signals
Juventud vs Nacional de Football Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-0
Nacional de Football
URU
0-2
HT 0-1
Nacional de Football
URU
Juventud 3-1 Nacional de Football — Actual Match Statistics
Juventud got the better of Nacional de Football 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Nacional de Football at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Juventud had 39% of the ball to Nacional de Football's 61%, shots finished 9-9.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Juventud and 2.00 for Nacional de Football.
What was the final score of Juventud vs Nacional de Football?
Juventud 3-1 Nacional de Football in the Uruguay - Premier League on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Juventud vs Nacional de Football?
Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Juventud 16%, draw 23%, Nacional de Football 61%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.