Manchester United U21 1-1 Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 8 Apr 2024

📅08/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
16%
3.94
Away
45%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.22
No
41%
3.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
22%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.1pp
16%
Draw
22%
-5.9pp
45%
Away Win
38%
+7.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
78%
-18.4pp
41%
BTTS No
22%
+18.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester United U21 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 EU Bookmakers 43%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.99/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.93
+132% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
362 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
5.0 Crosses 15.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester United U21
1-1
AWAY Brighton & Hove Alb. U21
0.76 xG 1.48
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 7
0 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
475 Passes 386
90% Pass Accuracy 88%
12 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Manchester United U21 vs Brighton & Hove Alb. U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester United U21 and Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, Manchester United U21 had 54% of the ball to Brighton & Hove Alb. U21's 46%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 0.76 to 1.48.

What was the final score of Manchester United U21 vs Brighton & Hove Alb. U21?

Manchester United U21 1-1 Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester United U21 vs Brighton & Hove Alb. U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Manchester United U21 39%, draw 16%, Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brighton & Hove Alb. U21), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brighton & Hove Alb. U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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