Paide Linnameeskond 3-1 Nomme United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 8 Apr 2026

📅08/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.57
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.55
No
35%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
27%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
13%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
60%
+1.6pp
19%
Draw
21%
-2.0pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+0.4pp
65%
BTTS Yes
60%
+4.4pp
35%
BTTS No
40%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme United EU Bookmakers 22%
-9% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.80/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/2.02
-11% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -13%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
423 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Nomme United
3.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Nomme United Nomme United 0-4 HT 0-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
14.09.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 7-2 HT 5-0 Nomme United Nomme United EST1
12.05.2024 Nomme United Nomme United 0-1 HT 0-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
10.03.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 3-1 HT 2-0 Nomme United Nomme United EST1
19.10.2022 Nomme United Nomme United 0-4 HT 0-3 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond ESTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
3-1
AWAY Nomme United
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Paide Linnameeskond vs Nomme United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond got the better of Nomme United 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Paide Linnameeskond as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (65%) came in.

On the day, Paide Linnameeskond had 48% of the ball to Nomme United's 52%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.80 goals for Paide Linnameeskond and 0.60 for Nomme United.

What was the final score of Paide Linnameeskond vs Nomme United?

Paide Linnameeskond 3-1 Nomme United in the Estonia - Premium League on 08/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paide Linnameeskond vs Nomme United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Paide Linnameeskond 61%, draw 19%, Nomme United 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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