FC Levadia 2-1 Parnu JK Vaprus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 8 Apr 2026

📅08/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
75%
1.28
Draw
15%
5.28
Away
10%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
75%
Home Win
74%
+1.3pp
15%
Draw
16%
-0.8pp
10%
Away Win
11%
-0.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus EU Bookmakers 14%
-6% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +21%
2.33/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.98
-5% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +23%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
438 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Levadia
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
68% Ball Possession 32%
24 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.10.2025 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 1-3 HT 0-3 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
22.08.2025 FC Levadia FC Levadia 1-3 HT 0-3 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
28.05.2025 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-2 HT 0-1 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
15.03.2025 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 1-2 HT 1-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
22.09.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 3-1 HT 0-1 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
10.08.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 1-4 HT 0-2 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Levadia
2-1
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus
65% Ball Possession 35%
33 Total Shots 6
14 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Levadia vs Parnu JK Vaprus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Levadia edged past Parnu JK Vaprus 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Levadia as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FC Levadia had 65% of the ball to Parnu JK Vaprus's 35%, shots finished 33-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for FC Levadia and 1.50 for Parnu JK Vaprus.

What was the final score of FC Levadia vs Parnu JK Vaprus?

FC Levadia 2-1 Parnu JK Vaprus in the Estonia - Premium League on 08/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Levadia vs Parnu JK Vaprus?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split FC Levadia 75%, draw 15%, Parnu JK Vaprus 10%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Levadia), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✓ Over 2.5
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