FS Jelgava 0-1 Rigas Skola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 8 Apr 2026

📅08/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
9%
9.57
Draw
17%
5.28
Away
74%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
25%
X/X
7%
2/1
2%
2/2
42%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
9%
Home Win
8%
+1.7pp
17%
Draw
16%
+1.1pp
74%
Away Win
77%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FS Jelgava EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 81%
+10% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
0.82/2.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/0.71
-7% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -9%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
240 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 431 · 82%
14.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 41.6
13.3 Crosses 26.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FS Jelgava
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Rigas Skola
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.69 xG 2.56
29% Ball Possession 71%
9 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 10
158 Passes 531
66% Pass Accuracy 87%
10 Box Touches 47
10 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2025 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 1-4 HT 0-3 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
26.06.2025 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 0-1 HT 0-0 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
05.05.2025 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 2-2 HT 0-0 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
11.03.2025 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 1-0 HT 0-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
30.09.2024 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 0-2 HT 0-0 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
05.07.2024 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 7-0 HT 4-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FS Jelgava
0-1
AWAY Rigas Skola
0.17 xG 2.70
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
194 Passes 444
71% Pass Accuracy 85%
9 Box Touches 46
27 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FS Jelgava vs Rigas Skola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rigas Skola nicked a narrow win over FS Jelgava 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rigas Skola as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FS Jelgava had 36% of the ball to Rigas Skola's 64%, shots finished 5-17, expected goals 0.17 to 2.70 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Rigas Skola's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rigas Skola led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FS Jelgava and 2.33 for Rigas Skola.

What was the final score of FS Jelgava vs Rigas Skola?

FS Jelgava 0-1 Rigas Skola in the Latvia - Virsliga on 08/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FS Jelgava vs Rigas Skola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rigas Skola win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split FS Jelgava 9%, draw 17%, Rigas Skola 74%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas Skola) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rigas Skola) ✗ Over 2.5
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