FS Jelgava vs Rigas Skola Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FS Jelgava v Rigas Skola — Team-Based Signals
FS Jelgava vs Rigas Skola Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
FS Jelgava 0-1 Rigas Skola — Actual Match Statistics
Rigas Skola squeezed past FS Jelgava 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rigas Skola as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, FS Jelgava had 24% of the ball to Rigas Skola's 76%, shots finished 7-27, expected goals 0.62 to 2.25 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Rigas Skola's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rigas Skola led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FS Jelgava and 3.17 for Rigas Skola.
What was the final score of FS Jelgava vs Rigas Skola?
FS Jelgava 0-1 Rigas Skola in the Latvia - Virsliga on 26/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FS Jelgava vs Rigas Skola?
Before kick-off our model rated an Rigas Skola win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split FS Jelgava 23%, draw 24%, Rigas Skola 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas Skola) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.