Liepaja 1-2 Auda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 8 Apr 2026

Liepaja
1-2 HT 0-1
Auda
📅08/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
38%
+5.9pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.6pp
32%
Away Win
35%
-2.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liepaja EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Auda EU Bookmakers 38%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.70/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.27
-12% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
10.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.7
10.5 Crosses 27.5
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liepaja
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Auda
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.05 xG 1.01
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
279 Passes 405
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2025 Auda Auda 1-2 HT 1-1 Liepaja Liepaja LET
27.07.2025 Liepaja Liepaja 2-0 HT 1-0 Auda Auda LET
24.05.2025 Liepaja Liepaja 0-0 HT 0-0 Auda Auda LET
09.04.2025 Auda Auda 3-0 HT 1-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
05.10.2024 Liepaja Liepaja 2-1 HT 1-0 Auda Auda LET
21.07.2024 Auda Auda 2-0 HT 1-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liepaja
1-2
AWAY Auda
0.23 xG 0.76
54% Ball Possession 46%
4 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
286 Passes 238
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Liepaja vs Auda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auda nicked a narrow win over Liepaja 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Liepaja at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Liepaja had 54% of the ball to Auda's 46%, shots finished 4-12, expected goals 0.23 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liepaja had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Liepaja and 1.17 for Auda.

What was the final score of Liepaja vs Auda?

Liepaja 1-2 Auda in the Latvia - Virsliga on 08/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liepaja vs Auda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liepaja win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Liepaja 44%, draw 23%, Auda 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Liepaja) ✗ Under 2.5
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