Auda vs Liepaja Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Auda v Liepaja — Team-Based Signals
Auda vs Liepaja Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Auda 1-2 Liepaja — Actual Match Statistics
Liepaja nicked a narrow win over Auda 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Liepaja found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (60%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Auda had 67% of the ball to Liepaja's 33%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 1.32 to 0.65 — on chances, Auda could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Auda and 0.83 for Liepaja.
What was the final score of Auda vs Liepaja?
Auda 1-2 Liepaja in the Latvia - Virsliga on 20/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Auda vs Liepaja?
Before kick-off our model rated an Liepaja win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Auda 35%, draw 28%, Liepaja 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liepaja), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.