Liepaja 2-0 Auda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 27 Jul 2025

Liepaja
2-0 HT 1-0
Auda
📅27/07/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+0.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
42%
Away Win
42%
-0.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liepaja EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Auda EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.77/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.84
-23% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +77%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
12.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.8
15.5 Crosses 20.9
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liepaja
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Auda
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.84 xG 1.25
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
231 Passes 415
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.05.2025 Liepaja Liepaja 0-0 HT 0-0 Auda Auda LET
09.04.2025 Auda Auda 3-0 HT 1-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
05.10.2024 Liepaja Liepaja 2-1 HT 1-0 Auda Auda LET
21.07.2024 Auda Auda 2-0 HT 1-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
19.05.2024 Auda Auda 1-1 HT 1-1 Liepaja Liepaja LET
09.04.2024 Liepaja Liepaja 1-0 HT 1-0 Auda Auda LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liepaja
2-0
AWAY Auda
1.96 xG 0.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 4
310 Passes 451
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
23 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Liepaja vs Auda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liepaja beat Auda 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Auda at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Liepaja had 42% of the ball to Auda's 58%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.96 to 0.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Liepaja and 1.17 for Auda.

What was the final score of Liepaja vs Auda?

Liepaja 2-0 Auda in the Latvia - Virsliga on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liepaja vs Auda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Auda win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Liepaja 32%, draw 27%, Auda 42%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Auda), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Auda) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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