BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
BFC Daugavpils v FS Jelgava — Team-Based Signals
BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
BFC Daugavpils 2-0 FS Jelgava — Actual Match Statistics
BFC Daugavpils beat FS Jelgava 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 37% — and on the day BFC Daugavpils made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, BFC Daugavpils had 41% of the ball to FS Jelgava's 59%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.57 to 1.17.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, BFC Daugavpils had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for BFC Daugavpils and 0.67 for FS Jelgava.
What was the final score of BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava?
BFC Daugavpils 2-0 FS Jelgava in the Latvia - Virsliga on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava?
Before kick-off our model rated a BFC Daugavpils win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split BFC Daugavpils 37%, draw 27%, FS Jelgava 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.