Rio Ave U23 3-1 Maritimo U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 8 Apr 2026

📅08/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-4.2pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.5pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.0pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rio Ave U23 EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Maritimo U23 EU Bookmakers 23%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.81/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.66
+10% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +4%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
381 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rio Ave U23
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Maritimo U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
28.01.2026 Maritimo U23 Maritimo U23 0-3 HT 0-3 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 PORU23
09.12.2025 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 2-1 Maritimo U23 Maritimo U23 UŞGA
23.09.2025 Maritimo U23 Maritimo U23 0-1 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 UŞGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rio Ave U23
3-1
AWAY Maritimo U23
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 5
11 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rio Ave U23 vs Maritimo U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rio Ave U23 got the better of Maritimo U23 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rio Ave U23 as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rio Ave U23 had 52% of the ball to Maritimo U23's 48%, shots finished 17-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rio Ave U23 had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Rio Ave U23 and 0.33 for Maritimo U23.

What was the final score of Rio Ave U23 vs Maritimo U23?

Rio Ave U23 3-1 Maritimo U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 08/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rio Ave U23 vs Maritimo U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rio Ave U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Rio Ave U23 53%, draw 24%, Maritimo U23 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rio Ave U23), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rio Ave U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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