União de Leiria U23 4-2 Portimonense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 8 Apr 2026

📅08/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.0pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME União de Leiria U23 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
381 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME União de Leiria U23
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Portimonense U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
13.02.2026 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 2-1 HT 1-1 União de Leiria U23 PORU23
08.11.2025 União de Leiria U23 1-3 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 UŞGB
21.08.2025 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 0-1 União de Leiria U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME União de Leiria U23
4-2
AWAY Portimonense U23
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH União de Leiria U23 vs Portimonense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

União de Leiria U23 got the better of Portimonense U23 4-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had União de Leiria U23 as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, União de Leiria U23 had 56% of the ball to Portimonense U23's 44%, shots finished 21-14.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Portimonense U23 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for União de Leiria U23 and 1.67 for Portimonense U23.

What was the final score of União de Leiria U23 vs Portimonense U23?

União de Leiria U23 4-2 Portimonense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 08/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for União de Leiria U23 vs Portimonense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a União de Leiria U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split União de Leiria U23 46%, draw 25%, Portimonense U23 29%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (União de Leiria U23), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (União de Leiria U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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