Chicago Fire 4-0 Detroit City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 8 May 2025

📅08/05/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.09
2-3 Goals
44%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
2.89
6+ Goals
13%
8.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
66%
-8.0pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.5pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+4.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.6pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chicago Fire EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Detroit City EU Bookmakers 17%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.53/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.15
-20% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -30%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
429 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
16.8 Crosses 18.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chicago Fire
4-0
AWAY Detroit City
4.41 xG 0.44
60% Ball Possession 40%
23 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
425 Passes 260
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
34 Box Touches 4
15 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chicago Fire vs Detroit City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chicago Fire swept aside Detroit City 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chicago Fire as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Chicago Fire had 60% of the ball to Detroit City's 40%, shots finished 23-5, expected goals 4.41 to 0.44.

What was the final score of Chicago Fire vs Detroit City?

Chicago Fire 4-0 Detroit City in the USA - Open Cup on 08/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chicago Fire vs Detroit City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chicago Fire win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Chicago Fire 58%, draw 23%, Detroit City 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chicago Fire), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chicago Fire) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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