Rhode Island 1-2 New England Revolution — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 8 May 2025

📅08/05/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.47
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.2
6+ Goals
15%
11.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.7pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rhode Island EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY New England Revolution EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
347 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rhode Island
1-2
AWAY New England Revolution
0.68 xG 1.27
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
409 Passes 328
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 13
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rhode Island vs New England Revolution
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New England Revolution squeezed past Rhode Island 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Rhode Island at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Rhode Island had 54% of the ball to New England Revolution's 46%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 0.68 to 1.27.

What was the final score of Rhode Island vs New England Revolution?

Rhode Island 1-2 New England Revolution in the USA - Open Cup on 08/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rhode Island vs New England Revolution?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rhode Island win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rhode Island 43%, draw 29%, New England Revolution 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rhode Island) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rhode Island) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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