Tampa Bay Rowdies 0-5 Orlando City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 8 May 2025

📅08/05/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
39%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.43
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.23
6+ Goals
10%
11.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
24%
+8.9pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.7pp
39%
Away Win
52%
-12.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.6pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tampa Bay Rowdies EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Orlando City EU Bookmakers 56%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
-22% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -41%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 80%
44.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
41.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tampa Bay Rowdies
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Orlando City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.65 xG 1.04
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
347 Passes 508
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 8
5 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2022 Orlando City Orlando City 2-1 HT 0-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies ABDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tampa Bay Rowdies
0-5
AWAY Orlando City
0.36 xG 1.90
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
394 Passes 537
89% Pass Accuracy 92%
13 Box Touches 29
8 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Orlando City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando City cruised past Tampa Bay Rowdies 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Orlando City found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tampa Bay Rowdies had 43% of the ball to Orlando City's 57%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 0.36 to 1.90.

What was the final score of Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Orlando City?

Tampa Bay Rowdies 0-5 Orlando City in the USA - Open Cup on 08/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Orlando City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Orlando City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay Rowdies 32%, draw 28%, Orlando City 39%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Orlando City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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