Philadelphia Union vs Indy Eleven Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Philadelphia Union v Indy Eleven — Team-Based Signals
Philadelphia Union 1-1 Indy Eleven — Actual Match Statistics
Philadelphia Union and Indy Eleven shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
This one beat our numbers. Philadelphia Union carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Philadelphia Union had 67% of the ball to Indy Eleven's 33%, shots finished 33-12, expected goals 2.46 to 1.14.
What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs Indy Eleven?
Philadelphia Union 1-1 Indy Eleven in the USA - Open Cup on 08/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Philadelphia Union vs Indy Eleven?
Before kick-off our model rated a Philadelphia Union win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Philadelphia Union 55%, draw 23%, Indy Eleven 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Philadelphia Union), Over 2.5 went the other way.