Louisville City vs Minnesota United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Louisville City v Minnesota United — Team-Based Signals
Louisville City 0-1 Minnesota United — Actual Match Statistics
Minnesota United edged past Louisville City 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Louisville City at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Louisville City had 50% of the ball to Minnesota United's 50%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 0.74 to 0.43.
What was the final score of Louisville City vs Minnesota United?
Louisville City 0-1 Minnesota United in the USA - Open Cup on 08/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Louisville City vs Minnesota United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Louisville City 45%, draw 26%, Minnesota United 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Louisville City), BTTS Yes went the other way.