Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs New York City FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds v New York City FC — Team-Based Signals
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-0 New York City FC — Actual Match Statistics
Pittsburgh Riverhounds squeezed past New York City FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Pittsburgh Riverhounds found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Pittsburgh Riverhounds had 32% of the ball to New York City FC's 68%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.92 to 1.12.
What was the final score of Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs New York City FC?
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-0 New York City FC in the USA - Open Cup on 08/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs New York City FC?
Before kick-off our model rated an New York City FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Pittsburgh Riverhounds 34%, draw 26%, New York City FC 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (New York City FC) went the other way.