St. Louis 2-0 Union Omaha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 8 May 2025

📅08/05/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.37
Draw
26%
4.49
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.15
Over 2.5
45%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
69%
-15.6pp
26%
Draw
19%
+6.5pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+9.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
43%
+12.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
57%
-12.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.4pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Louis EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 15%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.23/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/2.03
+84% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -41%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
414 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
41.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.3
12.6 Crosses 10.9
0.4 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Louis
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Union Omaha
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.30 xG 0.79
52% Ball Possession 48%
23 Total Shots 10
13 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
422 Passes 361
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
45 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
26.04.2023 St. Louis St. Louis 5-1 HT 1-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha ABDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Louis
2-0
AWAY Union Omaha
1.48 xG 0.67
62% Ball Possession 38%
24 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
403 Passes 198
86% Pass Accuracy 70%
30 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH St. Louis vs Union Omaha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Louis beat Union Omaha 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had St. Louis as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, St. Louis had 62% of the ball to Union Omaha's 38%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 1.48 to 0.67.

What was the final score of St. Louis vs Union Omaha?

St. Louis 2-0 Union Omaha in the USA - Open Cup on 08/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Louis vs Union Omaha?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Louis win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split St. Louis 53%, draw 26%, Union Omaha 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Louis), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Louis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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