Leones Negros Udeg 1-2 CD Tapatio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 8 Jun 2025

📅08/06/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
56%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
19%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.0
Over
52%
1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.72
No
46%
2.0
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.63
2-3
46%
1.8
4-5
23%
3.11
6+
6%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Leones Negros Udeg The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Tapatio The Market 25%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.91 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.17
0.71 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.39
Strong Attack Strength Strong
Great Defense Strength Average
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leones Negros Udeg
3W-3D-0L
AWAY CD Tapatio
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
12.01.2025 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-3 HT 2-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
18.11.2024 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-2 HT 2-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
15.11.2024 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 2-2 HT 1-2 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
27.07.2024 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 1-1 HT 1-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
23.02.2024 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 1-0 HT 1-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
12.10.2023 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-4 HT 1-3 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
REVIEW Leones Negros Udeg vs CD Tapatio
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

CD Tapatio nicked a narrow win over Leones Negros Udeg 2-1 on their travels. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Leones Negros Udeg at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 52% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leones Negros Udeg had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Leones Negros Udeg and 1.50 for CD Tapatio.

Leones Negros Udeg vs CD Tapatio Result & Final Score

Leones Negros Udeg 1 - 2 CD Tapatio in the Mexico - Primera A on 08/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Leones Negros Udeg vs CD Tapatio Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Leones Negros Udeg win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Leones Negros Udeg 56%, draw 25%, CD Tapatio 19%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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