Haverfordwest County 0-1 Penybont — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 8 Aug 2025

📅08/08/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.88
No
44%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.53
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
4.16
6+ Goals
9%
21.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+1.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-1.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.1pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haverfordwest County EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Penybont EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.23/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.10
-11% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
270 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haverfordwest County
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Penybont
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
21.03.2025 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 1-2 HT 1-1 Penybont Penybont GAL
01.02.2025 Penybont Penybont 0-0 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
03.12.2024 Penybont Penybont 1-0 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
17.09.2024 Penybont Penybont 1-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GALLK
23.08.2024 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 0-0 HT 0-0 Penybont Penybont GAL
21.04.2024 Penybont Penybont 1-0 HT 1-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
POST-MATCH Haverfordwest County vs Penybont
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penybont nicked a narrow win over Haverfordwest County 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Penybont found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Penybont led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Haverfordwest County and 0.83 for Penybont.

What was the final score of Haverfordwest County vs Penybont?

Haverfordwest County 0-1 Penybont in the Wales - Premier League on 08/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haverfordwest County vs Penybont?

Before kick-off our model rated a Haverfordwest County win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Haverfordwest County 37%, draw 28%, Penybont 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Haverfordwest County), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Haverfordwest County) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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