Curzon Ashton 1-0 Alfreton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.5pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.3pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Curzon Ashton EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Alfreton Town EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Curzon Ashton
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Alfreton Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.04.2026 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 3-3 HT 2-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
06.12.2025 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 2-1 HT 1-0 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
18.04.2025 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 0-0 HT 0-0 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
01.01.2025 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
06.04.2024 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
06.02.2024 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 2-1 HT 2-1 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Curzon Ashton
1-0
AWAY Alfreton Town
20 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Curzon Ashton vs Alfreton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Curzon Ashton edged past Alfreton Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Curzon Ashton as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, shots finished 20-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Curzon Ashton had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Curzon Ashton and 0.83 for Alfreton Town.

What was the final score of Curzon Ashton vs Alfreton Town?

Curzon Ashton 1-0 Alfreton Town in the England - Non League Premier on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Curzon Ashton vs Alfreton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Curzon Ashton win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Curzon Ashton 46%, draw 23%, Alfreton Town 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Curzon Ashton), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Curzon Ashton) ✓ BTTS No
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