Curzon Ashton 2-1 Alfreton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.32
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.32
6+ Goals
12%
12.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.3pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Curzon Ashton EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Alfreton Town EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
1.19/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.63
-22% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Curzon Ashton
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Alfreton Town
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2025 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 0-0 HT 0-0 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
01.01.2025 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
06.04.2024 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
06.02.2024 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 2-1 HT 2-1 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
25.02.2023 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 0-1 HT 0-0 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
07.02.2023 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Curzon Ashton
2-1
AWAY Alfreton Town
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Curzon Ashton vs Alfreton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Curzon Ashton edged past Alfreton Town 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Curzon Ashton as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Curzon Ashton had 61% of the ball to Alfreton Town's 39%, shots finished 12-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Curzon Ashton had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Curzon Ashton and 0.50 for Alfreton Town.

What was the final score of Curzon Ashton vs Alfreton Town?

Curzon Ashton 2-1 Alfreton Town in the England - Conference on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Curzon Ashton vs Alfreton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Curzon Ashton win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Curzon Ashton 43%, draw 24%, Alfreton Town 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Curzon Ashton), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Curzon Ashton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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