Alfreton Town vs Curzon Ashton Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alfreton Town v Curzon Ashton — Team-Based Signals
Alfreton Town vs Curzon Ashton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Alfreton Town
İCON
1-2
HT 1-1
Curzon Ashton
İCON
4-2
HT 3-1
Curzon Ashton
İCON
1-3
HT 1-0
Alfreton Town
FAK
Alfreton Town 0-1 Curzon Ashton — Actual Match Statistics
Curzon Ashton squeezed past Alfreton Town 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Curzon Ashton found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Alfreton Town had 45% of the ball to Curzon Ashton's 55%, shots finished 10-11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alfreton Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Alfreton Town and 1.17 for Curzon Ashton.
What was the final score of Alfreton Town vs Curzon Ashton?
Alfreton Town 0-1 Curzon Ashton in the England - Conference on 01/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alfreton Town vs Curzon Ashton?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alfreton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Alfreton Town 35%, draw 29%, Curzon Ashton 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.