Alfreton Town 3-3 Curzon Ashton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.74
2-3 Goals
35%
1.78
4-5 Goals
28%
2.96
6+ Goals
11%
9.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-2.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.2pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alfreton Town EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Curzon Ashton EU Bookmakers 42%
+6% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +16%
1.37/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.27
+1% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alfreton Town
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Curzon Ashton
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.12.2025 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 2-1 HT 1-0 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
18.04.2025 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 0-0 HT 0-0 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
01.01.2025 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
06.04.2024 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
06.02.2024 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 2-1 HT 2-1 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
25.02.2023 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 0-1 HT 0-0 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alfreton Town
3-3
AWAY Curzon Ashton
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Alfreton Town vs Curzon Ashton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alfreton Town and Curzon Ashton couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Alfreton Town had 49% of the ball to Curzon Ashton's 51%, shots finished 10-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Curzon Ashton led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Alfreton Town and 0.83 for Curzon Ashton.

What was the final score of Alfreton Town vs Curzon Ashton?

Alfreton Town 3-3 Curzon Ashton in the England - Conference on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alfreton Town vs Curzon Ashton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alfreton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Alfreton Town 38%, draw 27%, Curzon Ashton 35%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alfreton Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alfreton Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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