Gremio vs Sao Paulo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gremio v Sao Paulo — Team-Based Signals
Gremio vs Sao Paulo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Gremio
BR1
Gremio 2-1 Sao Paulo — Actual Match Statistics
Gremio edged past Sao Paulo 2-1 in the Brazil - Serie A on 8 Aug 2026. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, shots finished 12-19, expected goals 1.62 to 1.72.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sao Paulo lead the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gremio and 1.50 for Sao Paulo.
What was the final score of Gremio vs Sao Paulo?
Gremio 2-1 Sao Paulo in the Brazil - Serie A on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gremio vs Sao Paulo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gremio win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Gremio 44%, draw 24%, Sao Paulo 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gremio) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.