Gremio 2-1 Sao Paulo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.47
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.52
6+ Goals
9%
24.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.35
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
11%
4.99
X/2
10%
6.47
X/X
9%
3.87
2/1
10%
31.0
2/2
16%
5.0
2/X
9%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
41%
+2.5pp
24%
Draw
30%
-5.4pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gremio EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sao Paulo EU Bookmakers 32%
+11% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +5%
1.43/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.22
+24% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +21%
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
306 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 83%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
19.1 Crosses 17.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gremio
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Sao Paulo
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.96 xG 2.35
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
278 Passes 443
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.02.2026 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 2-0 HT 1-0 Gremio Gremio BR1
17.10.2025 Gremio Gremio 2-0 HT 1-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
18.05.2025 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 2-1 HT 0-1 Gremio Gremio BR1
01.12.2024 Gremio Gremio 2-1 HT 2-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
18.07.2024 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 1-0 HT 1-0 Gremio Gremio BR1
22.10.2023 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 3-0 HT 1-0 Gremio Gremio BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gremio
2-1
AWAY Sao Paulo
1.62 xG 1.72
12 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
363 Passes 395
20 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Gremio vs Sao Paulo
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Gremio edged past Sao Paulo 2-1 in the Brazil - Serie A on 8 Aug 2026. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, shots finished 12-19, expected goals 1.62 to 1.72.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sao Paulo lead the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gremio and 1.50 for Sao Paulo.

What was the final score of Gremio vs Sao Paulo?

Gremio 2-1 Sao Paulo in the Brazil - Serie A on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gremio vs Sao Paulo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gremio win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Gremio 44%, draw 24%, Sao Paulo 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gremio) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gremio) ✗ Under 2.5
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