Gremio vs Sao Paulo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gremio v Sao Paulo — Team-Based Signals
Gremio vs Sao Paulo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Gremio
BR1
2-1
HT 2-1
Sao Paulo
BR1
3-0
HT 1-0
Sao Paulo
BR1
Gremio 2-0 Sao Paulo — Actual Match Statistics
Gremio beat Sao Paulo 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Gremio made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.
On the day, Gremio had 36% of the ball to Sao Paulo's 64%, shots finished 18-14.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gremio and 1.33 for Sao Paulo.
What was the final score of Gremio vs Sao Paulo?
Gremio 2-0 Sao Paulo in the Brazil - Serie A on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gremio vs Sao Paulo?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sao Paulo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gremio 34%, draw 28%, Sao Paulo 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sao Paulo) went the other way.