Fluminense 1-0 Juventude — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 17 Oct 2025

📅17/10/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
12%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.27
No
52%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
25%
3.65
6+ Goals
9%
15.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
3%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
68%
-1.4pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.7pp
12%
Away Win
12%
+0.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.4pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fluminense EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventude EU Bookmakers 15%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.71/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.93
+3% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -25%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
445 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 75%
30.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
25.9 Crosses 14.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fluminense
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Juventude
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.57 xG 0.99
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
506 Passes 271
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.05.2025 Juventude Juventude 1-1 HT 0-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
15.09.2024 Juventude Juventude 2-1 HT 0-1 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
08.08.2024 Fluminense Fluminense 2-2 HT 0-1 Juventude Juventude BRK
02.08.2024 Juventude Juventude 3-2 HT 0-1 Fluminense Fluminense BRK
02.06.2024 Fluminense Fluminense 1-1 HT 1-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
29.09.2022 Fluminense Fluminense 4-0 HT 2-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fluminense
1-0
AWAY Juventude
0.65 xG 0.50
67% Ball Possession 33%
13 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
500 Passes 224
89% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 9
33 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Fluminense vs Juventude
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fluminense squeezed past Juventude 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fluminense as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Fluminense had 67% of the ball to Juventude's 33%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.65 to 0.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventude led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Fluminense and 1.50 for Juventude.

What was the final score of Fluminense vs Juventude?

Fluminense 1-0 Juventude in the Brazil - Serie A on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fluminense vs Juventude?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Fluminense 67%, draw 21%, Juventude 12%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fluminense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fluminense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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